Дослідження методів обчислювального інтелекту у прогнозуванні на фінансових ринках

The work considers intelligent methods for solving the problem of short- and middle-term forecasting in the financial sphere. LSTM DL networks, GMDH, and hybrid GMDH-neo-fuzzy networks were studied. Neo-fuzzy neurons were chosen as nodes of the hybrid network, which allows to reduce computational co...

Повний опис

Збережено в:
Бібліографічні деталі
Видавець:The National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute"
Дата:2023
Автори: Zaychenko, Yuriy, Zaichenko, Helen, Kuzmenko, Oleksii
Формат: Стаття
Мова:English
Опубліковано: The National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute" 2023
Теми:
Онлайн доступ:http://journal.iasa.kpi.ua/article/view/290368
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Організація

System research and information technologies
Опис
Резюме:The work considers intelligent methods for solving the problem of short- and middle-term forecasting in the financial sphere. LSTM DL networks, GMDH, and hybrid GMDH-neo-fuzzy networks were studied. Neo-fuzzy neurons were chosen as nodes of the hybrid network, which allows to reduce computational costs. The optimal network parameters were found. The synthesis of the optimal structure of hybrid networks was performed. Experimental studies of LSTM, GMDH, and hybrid GMDH-neo-fuzzy networks with optimal parameters for short- and middle-term forecasting have been conducted. The accuracy of the obtained experimental predictions is compared. The forecasting intervals for which the application of the researched artificial intelligence methods is the most expedient have been determined.