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Country risk in Greece, Spain and Turkey: Measurement and Policy Implications – an Application of the Fink Country Scoring Model

Електронний науковий архів Науково-технічної бібліотеки Національного університету "Львівська політехніка"

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Title Country risk in Greece, Spain and Turkey: Measurement and Policy Implications – an Application of the Fink Country Scoring Model
 
Creator Haiss, Peter
Schicklgruber, Bernd
 
Subject Country risk
debt burden
rating
scoring model
Southern Europe
 
Description Rising public deficits and debt levels, uneven growth and productivity and growing mistrust in official data in the Southern periphery of the Euro zone put downward pressure on the euro and confront policy makers with ambitious challenges. We examine the present situation in detail and apply the adapted Fink Country Scoring Model to assess and project the country risk of Greece, Spain and
Turkey to compare factors of risk in and outside the Euro zone. Based on this purely economic model, we provide a less subjective, alternative view to country ratings by rating agencies. We find that Greece and Spain have envisaged pronounced worsening in their country risk throughout the
past decade, while Turkey’s assessment improved. The projections indicate recovery for Spain, stabilization at a lower level for Greece and current account deficits increasing risk for Turkey. On a country-by-country basis, we derive economic policy implications and suggest restructuring with
regard to budgetary consolidation, debt reduction, stimulation of competitiveness and enhanced transparency.
 
Date 2015-04-20T13:36:00Z
2015-04-20T13:36:00Z
2013
 
Type Article
 
Identifier Haiss P. Country risk in Greece, Spain and Turkey: Measurement and Policy Implications – an Application of the Fink Country Scoring Model / Peter Haiss, Bernd Schicklgruber // Економіка і менеджмент : матеріали ІIІ Міжнародної конференції молодих вчених ЕМ-2013, 21–23 листопада 2013 р., Львів, Україна / Національний університет "Львівська політехніка". – Львів : Видавництво Львівської політехніки, 2013. – С.110–123. – (4-й Міжнародний молодіжний фестиваль науки "Litteris et artibus"). – Bibliography: 28 titles.
http://ena.lp.edu.ua:8080/handle/ntb/27048
 
Language en
 
Publisher Видавництво Львівської політехніки